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Theoretical/Operational Hourly Ride Capacity at WDW

Link to the DISboards.

Comments welcome.  Most attractions have a solid connection found in a wide variety of sources.  Some of these attractions I haven’t been able to begin to guess.

THRC – Theoretical Hourly Ride Capacity

OHRC – Operational Hourly Ride Capacity (during a peak time)

FP+ allocation – is a pure guess at 70% based on observations.

% attendance – shows what percent of a daily population could actually book a FP+.  So, with the Mine Train, only 24% of the people in a 60,000 population day could actually schedule a FP+ for this ride.

 Magic Kingdom  14 hour day THRC OHRC Daily Capacity  FP+  allocation % attendance
14 0.7 60000
Big Thunder N.R. 1500 1350 18900 13230 0.2205
Space Mountain 2000 1800 25200 17640 0.294
Splash Mountain 1200 1080 15120 10584 0.1764
Peter Pan’s Flight 800 720 10080 7056 0.1176
Buzz Lightyear Ranger Spin 800 720 10080 7056 0.1176
Haunted Mansion 3200 2880 40320 28224 0.4704
Jungle Cruise 1800 1620 22680 15876 0.2646
Pirates of Caribbean 3200 2880 40320 28224 0.4704
Barnstormer 350 315 4410 3087 0.05145
Winnie the Pooh 850 765 10710 7497 0.12495
Tomorrowland Speedway 500 450 6300 4410 0.0735
Under the Sea 2200 1980 27720 19404 0.3234
Dumbo  the Flying Elepahnt 1000 900 12600 8820 0.147
It’s a Small World 3000 2700 37800 26460 0.441
Mad Tea Party 850 765 10710 7497 0.12495
Mickey’s Philharmagic 1500 1350 18900 13230 0.2205
Magic Carpets of Aladdin 550 495 6930 4851 0.08085
7 Dwarf Mine Train 1650 1485 20790 14553 0.2425
Meet Ariel at Her Grotto 0 0 0 0
Meet Cinderella 0 0 0 0
Meet Rapunzel 0 0 0 0
Celebrate a Dream Come Parade 0 0 0 0
Meet Mickey Town Square 0 0 0 0
Monsters Inc 1000 900 12600 8820 0.147
Wishes 0 0 0 0
Enchanted Tales w Belle 300 270 3780 2646 0.0441
Magic Kingdom Totals: 249165 4.1
Epcot    12 hour day THRC OHRC Daily Capacity  FP+ allocation % attendance
12 0.7 37800
Soarin (3 theaters) 2088 1879 22550 15785 0.41
Test Track 1200 1080 12960 9072 0.24
Frozen Ever After 1000 900 10800 7560 0.2
Mission: Space 1600 1440 17280 12096 0.32
Spaceship Earth 2400 2160 25920 18144 0.48
Journey into Imagination 2200 1980 23760 16632 0.44
The Seas with Nemo 2200 1980 23760 16632 0.44
Living with the Land 1600 1440 17280 12096 0.32
Meet Disney Pals at Epcot 0 0 0 0
Captain EO 0 0 0 0
Turtle Talk with Crush 0 0 0 0
Illuminations 0 0 0 0
Epcot Totals: 108017 2.85
Hollywood Studios   13 Hour Day THRC OHRC Daily Capacity FP+ allocation % attendance
13 0.7 35000
RocknRoller Coaster 1800 1620 21060 14742 0.4212
Tower of Terror 2000 1800 23400 16380 0.468
Toy Story Midway Mania (+3rd track) 2050 1435 18655 13058 0.3731
Star Tours 1800 1620 21060 14742 0.4212
The Great Movie Ride 2400 2160 28080 19656 0.5616
Disney Junior 1500 1050 0.03
Fantasmic 10000 7000 0.2
Indiana Jones Stunt Spectacular 10000 7000 0.2
Muppet 3D  1692 19786 13850 .39
Beauty & Beast Stage  7500  5250  0.15
 DHS Totals  112728  3.2
Animal Kingdom   10 Hour Day THRC OHRC Daily Capacity FP+ allocation Attendance
10 0.7 35000
Expedition Everest 1800 1620 16200 11340 0.324
Kali River Rapids 1800 1620 16200 11340 0.324
Kilimanjaro Safaris 1400 1260 12600 8820 0.252
Dinosaur 2400 2160 21600 15120 0.432
Primeaval Whirl 1000 900 9000 6300 0.18
It’s Tough to Be a Bug 2000 1800 18000 12600 0.36
Avatar: Flight of Passage (projected)  1378  1240  12400  8680 0.248
Na’vi River Journey (projected) 3000  2700 27000 18900 0.540
Festival of Lion King 1375 8250 5775 0.165
Meet and Greet 200 2000 1400 0.043
Parade 1000 1000 1000 0.028
Finding Nemo  1500  6000  4200  0.12
Animal Kingdom Totals 105475 3.0
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19 Comments

  1. Matthew says:

    Could you reveal the source of your THRC data?

    Thank you!

  2. crookba says:

    If you search for THRC data for specific rides, you will find a wide range of Theme park sites posting the estimates. I have also been counting the number of people loading on the rides at full capacity for years. There are no official numbers, and this spreadsheet is a pretty good place to start. It is a nice estimate.

    • Lee Courtney says:

      A *quick* look at numbers gives me the following legend:
      THRC = Theoretical Hourly Ride Capacity
      OHRC = Observed Hourly Ride Capacity
      Daily Capacity = (14 hours open/day) x OHRC
      FP + Allocation = ??? I have no idea…
      % Attendance = Assuming a daily attendance of 60,000 what % of guests visit this attraction. I’m guessing here, but given Haunted Mansion and PotC are tied for first at 47.04% seems reasonable, and accurate.

      This is a cool dataset. I stumbled across this page after visiting Disneyland last week for the first time in 20 years. Nice to have theoretical and observed counts. More queuing theory fodder… 🙂 I wonder how Disney compares to other amusement parks (e.g. Six Flags)?

  3. GrumpyFan says:

    Can you provide a breakdown of the columns and give a short definition of them?

  4. steamdude says:

    Just out of curiosity, where did you come up with these numbers? For example, Big Thunder’s hourly capacity changes based on how many trains are running. The same can be said for Jungle and Pirate boats as well.

    • crookba says:

      The estimates are not designed to be an actual daily account. Of course these numbers will change based on time of day and season. Most numbers are based on full capacity optimal conditions. I put these numbers together to show how many ride slots were available a day in order to better understand the FP+ situation. For example, if you look EPCOT, the number of ride slots explains why they have tiers there. It shows why Disney came up with the magic number of Three FP+ a day. That is ALL they have to give out. At DHS and Epcot they don’t really have that many to give out. Amazingly, if you follow any of this… The Animal Kingdom has the greatest shortage of FP+ to give out, but they don’t have tiers. I don’t quite understand that one. Kilimanjaro Safaris has a relatively low capacity for a headliner, and those FP+ slots are not being booked up at an overly quick manner. I would have predicted that the Safari would be among the most difficult to score. Maybe this is because Animal Kingdom is a half day park. Even though 30000 people walk through the turnstiles a day, if they only stay half the day it might be more like 15,000 really. This may all change when Pandora opens.

  5. I am curious how you calculated your capacity figure for Tomorrowland Speedway, i.e., number of ride vehicles multiplied by total ride length (ride +load+unload). I only ask for this ride in particular because I am working on something where this attraction is replaced by two or three new dark rides with much greater capacity per hour.

    • crookba says:

      Hi. I calculated those numbers by actually counting on several different occasions. I also had people at different times of the year on location email their counts. That number provides a pretty good idea of how many people ride the Speedway during busy times. These numbers are based on maximum rides a day.

      I like your idea of replacing it with two highly themed dark rides with high capacity. Or put in a more sophisticated car racing experience. The current ride is simply out of date.

  6. crookba says:

    That is a lot space. That is a lot of ride capacity with those three. And I do enjoy playing imagineer.

  7. Wes says:

    Muppets 3D with an hourly ride capacity of 550? The theater holds 564. Shows every 15 minutes. That’s 2,255 THRC. The OHRC is probably more like 550 if 25% full.

  8. Kyle says:

    Love the info, it helps a lot when playing Imagineer.

    Carousel of Progress capacity is ~4200 an hour.
    240 seats a theater 6 theaters 21 run time.

    Stitch’s Great Escape capacity is ~1100
    162 seats a theater
    2 theaters
    17:30 run time

    I’ve heard People Mover is 2400 an hour but no data to support it with.

    Sorry I was going to ask a question then ended up looking around after I stumbled upon this site, so I guess this info is more for someone else who happens to have the same questions I did.

    • crookba says:

      Hi Kyle. Thanks for the information, I keep this information for fun. It’s been collected over the years from research, actual experience, and tips from other people.

    • crookba says:

      I guess that Stitch Great Escape is going to be eliminated. Not that it helped much with the FP+ allocation. I don’t think people were logging in advance to grab that.

  9. CM Anon says:

    Hello! Just letting you know that your numbers for Kilimanjaro Safaris are not correct. Not sure of Fastpass distribution or daily capacity, but the THRC is actually around 3,000. There are 38 trucks that each can hold around 40 guests making 30-minute cycles.

    • crookba says:

      Hi, thanks for the comment. The last time I was there in July. The trucks were not getting in and out anywhere near 30 seconds. It was closer to 60 seconds. But I do appreciate your input, and I will adjust accordingly. A lot of these numbers feedback like yours, and then adjustments based on my own verification. It sure isn’t exact. Really, I appreciate your feedback.

  10. Jeff says:

    The % attendance number has nothing to do with popularity — it is just a theoretical calculation based on capacity of a given ride assuming that every ride goes out with the OHRC for the entire day. It is most definitely not reflective of the % of people who visit a park who make sure to ride that ride.

    • crookba says:

      I use that % attendance # to show what percentage the population could book a FP+ if they so desired. For example, only 24% of the daily attendance at Epcot can book a FP+ (if they were actually giving out 70%). This is why they have tiers. Epcot doesn’t have enough FP+ capacity to give everyone coming in the park at leas 1 of Soarin or Test Track or Frozen. Only 80% can ride 1 of them with a FP. Based on this, Epcot needs about 6 more high quality / high capacity rides to give 80% three good choices. 🙂

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